Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000142 0.000158 0.000176 0.000195 0.000217 0.000241 0.000268
2025-09-28 0.000119 0.000141 0.000166 0.000196 0.000232 0.000273 0.000324
2025-10-05 0.000102 0.000127 0.000157 0.000195 0.000243 0.000302 0.000377
2025-10-12 0.000091 0.000118 0.000153 0.000199 0.000260 0.000337 0.000442
2025-10-19 0.000081 0.000110 0.000147 0.000200 0.000272 0.000367 0.000503
2025-10-26 0.000072 0.000102 0.000142 0.000199 0.000282 0.000395 0.000562
2025-11-02 0.000065 0.000094 0.000136 0.000198 0.000290 0.000420 0.000620
2025-11-09 0.000059 0.000089 0.000132 0.000198 0.000299 0.000447 0.000684
2025-11-16 0.000054 0.000083 0.000127 0.000196 0.000305 0.000470 0.000741
2025-11-23 0.000049 0.000078 0.000123 0.000195 0.000313 0.000495 0.000804
2025-11-30 0.000046 0.000075 0.000120 0.000196 0.000322 0.000523 0.000874
2025-12-07 0.000042 0.000070 0.000115 0.000194 0.000326 0.000544 0.000933
2025-12-14 0.000040 0.000068 0.000114 0.000197 0.000340 0.000582 0.001026
2025-12-21 0.000037 0.000065 0.000112 0.000198 0.000351 0.000615 0.001114
2025-12-28 0.000035 0.000062 0.000109 0.000197 0.000358 0.000644 0.001195
2026-01-04 0.000033 0.000060 0.000109 0.000201 0.000374 0.000688 0.001310
2026-01-11 0.000031 0.000058 0.000107 0.000202 0.000384 0.000722 0.001408
2026-01-18 0.000029 0.000056 0.000104 0.000201 0.000392 0.000753 0.001503
2026-01-25 0.000027 0.000053 0.000102 0.000200 0.000397 0.000780 0.001592
2026-02-01 0.000026 0.000051 0.000100 0.000200 0.000406 0.000813 0.001697
2026-02-08 0.000024 0.000049 0.000097 0.000198 0.000409 0.000837 0.001784
2026-02-15 0.000023 0.000047 0.000094 0.000197 0.000416 0.000867 0.001888
2026-02-22 0.000021 0.000045 0.000093 0.000198 0.000425 0.000903 0.002006